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15-year TCO worksheet — industrial pump

Lifecycle cost calculation for an industrial pump procurement decision. Fill in the bracketed cells; total is computed at the bottom.


Inputs — operating profile

Parameter Value Notes
Rated shaft power _____ kW At duty point, from pump curve
Pump efficiency at duty _____ % Read from manufacturer’s η-Q curve
Driver efficiency 95% Typical IE3 motor at full load
Annual operating hours _____ h Realistic — not “8.760 if asked”
Asset life (years) 15 Industry standard for centrifugal
Electricity tariff R$ 0,65 / kWh BR industrial 2026 average — use site-specific
Annual tariff escalation 4% Brazilian industrial tariff inflation 2020-2026
Discount rate (NPV) 8% Use buyer’s WACC; default 8% reasonable

Inputs — direct costs

Cost Value Notes
Equipment CAPEX R$ _____ FCA factory
Freight to site R$ _____ Per Incoterms
Installation cost R$ _____ Civil + mechanical + electrical
Vendor installation supervision R$ _____ Optional but recommended
Commissioning cost R$ _____ Operating fluids, instruments, training
Total CAPEX R$ _____ Sum

Inputs — operating costs

Energy (dominant component)

Annual electricity (kWh)
  = (shaft kW / pump η) × (1 / driver η) × annual hours
Component Value
Shaft kW / pump η _____
÷ driver η _____
× annual hours _____
Annual electricity (kWh) _____
× tariff (year 1) R$ _____
Year-1 energy cost R$ _____

For NPV with 4% tariff escalation and 8% discount rate over 15 years, the multiplier on year-1 energy cost is approximately 11.7×.

Lifecycle energy cost (year-1 × 11.7) R$ _____

Maintenance

Component Value  
Annual scheduled maintenance R$ _____ Typical: 3-5% of CAPEX
Annual spare-parts consumption R$ _____ Wear-part replenishment
× 15 years × 15  
Lifecycle maintenance R$ _____  

NPV adjustment: with 8% discount rate, the 15-year multiplier on annual maintenance is approximately 8.6× annual cost.

Lifecycle maintenance NPV (annual × 8.6) R$ _____

Unplanned downtime risk

Component Value
Probability of unplanned outage event over 15 years _____ %
Expected duration of one event (days) _____ days
Cost of process downtime per day R$ _____
Expected lifecycle downtime cost R$ _____

For non-redundant critical service: typical 1-2 events expected over 15 years. Reduce by 50% if redundant pump installed.

For pumps with > 16-week parts lead time and no on-site spare: increase by 100% (one event takes 2-4× longer to recover).

Disposal

Component Value
End-of-life decommissioning + scrap value R$ _____

NPV at year 15 with 8% discount: multiply by 0.32.

Disposal NPV R$ _____

TCO total

Component NPV (R$)
CAPEX _____
Energy lifecycle _____
Maintenance lifecycle _____
Unplanned downtime risk _____
Disposal _____
Total TCO _____

Comparison across bidders

Run the worksheet for each bidder under evaluation. The bidder with lowest TCO is not always the winner — the scoring matrix (evaluation-matrix.md) blends TCO with strategic factors like spare-parts ecosystem and references.

But TCO is the single largest input to the energy-cost-weighted criterion in the matrix, and it deserves its own worksheet for transparency.

Sanity checks

After computing TCO for each bidder, verify:

If any of these is violated, re-check inputs. A common error is using nameplate motor power instead of shaft power at duty (overestimates energy by 20-30%).